MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 5, 2026
Portrait of Matthew Liberatore
Matthew Liberatore
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matthew Liberatore wins 2 (K, ERA); Steven Matz wins 2 (WHIP, W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
94.4
Steven Matz
93.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
11.0%
Steven Matz
10.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
22.5%
Steven Matz
18.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matthew Liberatore
29.8%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
42.3%
Steven Matz
35.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
8.6%
Steven Matz
12.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matthew Liberatore
.338
Steven Matz
.354
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
4.115.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.35
4.60
Steven Matz
4.115.20
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
4.96
WHIPlower is better
Matthew Liberatore
1.141.60
now 1.50
1.38
Steven Matz
1.141.60
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
4067
now 57
36
Steven Matz
4067
now 35
32
Winshigher is better
Matthew Liberatore
.0006.60
now 3
13
Steven Matz
.0006.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
SellMatthew Liberatore — sell.conf 0.78
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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