Rest of Season Projection
PJCategoryWilber
29K →43
3.82ERA →3.70
1.27WHIP →1.24
3–6W ←2–5
2–4SV ←0
Current Season
PJCategoryWilber
18K ←14
3.20ERA →1.32
1.46WHIP →0.73
3W ←1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
PJ Poulin
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.232 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 6.14 is 2.94 above the ERA — regression coming
Wilber Dotel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.24)
PJ Poulin: 29 K / 3.82 ERA. Wilber Dotel: 43 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).