Rest of Season Projection
RhettCategoryTyler
62K →94
4.29ERA →4.05
1.36WHIP ←1.38
4–8W ←1–2
0SV0
Current Season
RhettCategoryTyler
31K →57
5.01ERA ←6.04
1.45WHIP ←1.54
3W ←1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Rhett Lowder
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.10)
Tyler Mahle
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 4.05 sits 0.05 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.335 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Rhett Lowder: 63 K / 4.29 ERA. Tyler Mahle: 95 K / 4.04 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).