Rest of Season Projection
RobbieCategoryZack
101K ←63
4.73ERA ←5.26
1.43WHIP →1.35
3–6W →5–11
0SV0
Current Season
RobbieCategoryZack
59K ←35
4.45ERA ←5.01
1.40WHIP →1.37
3W →5
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Robbie Ray
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.261 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.07 is 0.95 above the ERA — regression coming
Zack Littell
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.244 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 5.89 is 1.13 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 14% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Robbie Ray: 101 K / 4.73 ERA. Zack Littell: 63 K / 5.26 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).