Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategorySean
25K →64
3.70ERA ←3.77
1.24WHIP ←1.26
2–5W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
RyanCategorySean
12K →42
2.75ERA ←5.08
1.17WHIP ←1.46
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.262 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.68 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Sean Manaea
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.343 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Ryan Thompson: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Sean Manaea: 64 K / 3.77 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).