Rest of Season Projection
AaronCategoryBryan
66K ←49
3.55ERA ←3.67
1.25WHIP →1.24
7–19W ←1–2
0SV →19–36
Current Season
AaronCategoryBryan
51K ←29
2.00ERA ←2.22
1.28WHIP →1.07
9W ←1
0SV →16
What Each Player's System Trusts
Aaron Ashby
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.70)
Bryan Baker
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.230 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.83 is 0.70 above the ERA — regression coming
Aaron Ashby: 66 K / 3.55 ERA. Bryan Baker: 49 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).