MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Ashby
Aaron Ashby
MIL · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Aaron Ashby wins 2 (ERA, W); Cade Smith wins 2 (WHIP, SV); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
97.3
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
13.0%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.9%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Ashby
30.5%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
39.7%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
5.0%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Ashby
.274
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Ashby
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.00
3.07
Cade Smith
24.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Ashby
.9801.42
now 1.28
1.32
Cade Smith
.9801.42
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
4057.80
now 51
34
Cade Smith
4057.80
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00012.20
now 9
39
Cade Smith
.00012.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Aaron Ashby
.00029.40
now 0
0
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowAaron Ashby — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.73
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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