MLB Daily DeltaWeek 27 · September 28, 2026
Portrait of Aaron Nola
Aaron Nola
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tanner Bibee
Tanner Bibee
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 1–1, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
◀
ERA
WHIP
▶
W
SV n/a

Aaron Nola wins 1 (ERA); Tanner Bibee wins 1 (WHIP); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Aaron Nola
92.3
Tanner Bibee
94.0
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
12.6%
Tanner Bibee
11.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
23.8%
Tanner Bibee
19.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Aaron Nola
33.3%
Tanner Bibee
27.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
40.3%
Tanner Bibee
39.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Aaron Nola
9.3%
Tanner Bibee
8.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Aaron Nola
.314
Tanner Bibee
.320
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Aaron Nola
3.596.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.55
4.15
Tanner Bibee
3.596.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
4.26
WHIPlower is better
Aaron Nola
1.211.46
now 1.39
1.31
Tanner Bibee
1.211.46
now 1.30
1.28

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Aaron Nola
4089.60
now 64
0
Tanner Bibee
4089.60
now 60
0
Winshigher is better
Aaron Nola
.0004.20
now 3
0–0
Tanner Bibee
.0004.20
now 0
0–0

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyAaron Nola — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans sellTanner Bibee — hold.conf 0.60
Tweet