Rest of Season Projection
AlbertCategoryCade
36K →66
3.71ERA →3.60
1.24WHIP →1.22
3–8W ←2–5
1–5SV →23–43
Current Season
AlbertCategoryCade
10K →42
2.61ERA2.60
1.21WHIP →1.08
2W2
1SV →20
What Each Player's System Trusts
Albert Suárez
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.190 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 5.01 is 2.40 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 12% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Albert Suárez: 36 K / 3.71 ERA. Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).