MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of Andrew Alvarez
Andrew Alvarez
WSH · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, SV); Andrew Alvarez wins 1 (K); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
92.4
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
12.2%
Cade Smith
17.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
25.0%
Cade Smith
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Andrew Alvarez
30.6%
Cade Smith
33.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
43.0%
Cade Smith
44.8%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
5.2%
Cade Smith
10.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Andrew Alvarez
.321
Cade Smith
.282
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.02
4.11
Cade Smith
24.71
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
WHIPlower is better
Andrew Alvarez
.9701.47
now 1.28
1.36
Cade Smith
.9701.47
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
4052
now 17
34
Cade Smith
4052
now 42
33
Winshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.2003.80
now 1
13
Cade Smith
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Andrew Alvarez
.00027.60
now 1
14
Cade Smith
.00027.60
now 20
1120
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellAndrew Alvarez — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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