MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Antonio Senzatela
Antonio Senzatela
COL · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Antonio Senzatela’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Antonio Senzatela wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
97.3
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
12.4%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
20.8%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Antonio Senzatela
31.0%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
39.9%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
5.6%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Antonio Senzatela
.291
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 1.30
3.48
Cade Smith
24.63
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Antonio Senzatela
.9001.49
now 0.89
1.32
Cade Smith
.9001.49
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
4051.60
now 26
18
Cade Smith
4051.60
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.0008
now 5
36
Cade Smith
.0008
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Antonio Senzatela
.00028.60
now 3
23
Cade Smith
.00028.60
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
BuyAntonio Senzatela — buy.conf 0.79
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
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