Rest of Season Projection
BradCategoryCade
46K →66
3.68ERA →3.60
1.23WHIP →1.22
2–7W ←2–5
0SV →23–43
Current Season
BradCategoryCade
31K →42
2.68ERA →2.60
1.00WHIP ←1.08
3W ←2
0SV →20
What Each Player's System Trusts
Brad Lord
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.248 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 0.87 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Brad Lord: 46 K / 3.68 ERA. Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).