MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Bryan Abreu
Bryan Abreu
HOU · P
Change to
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Bryan Abreu wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
95.2
Cade Smith
96.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
13.0%
Cade Smith
17.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
28.2%
Cade Smith
34.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Bryan Abreu
25.5%
Cade Smith
33.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
50.7%
Cade Smith
45.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
8.2%
Cade Smith
10.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Bryan Abreu
.344
Cade Smith
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Bryan Abreu
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.87
3.70
Cade Smith
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
WHIPlower is better
Bryan Abreu
.9002.40
now 2.02
1.24
Cade Smith
.9002.40
now 1.08
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
4049.60
now 23
26
Cade Smith
4049.60
now 42
34
Winshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.2003.80
now 2
13
Cade Smith
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Bryan Abreu
.00028.60
now 3
24
Cade Smith
.00028.60
now 20
1121
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBryan Abreu — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet