MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 4, 2026
Burch Smith
DET · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Holton
Tyler Holton
DET · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Burch Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and WHIP. Tyler Holton’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Burch Smith wins 2 categories (ERA, WHIP); Tyler Holton wins 1 (W); 1 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Burch Smith
93.8
Tyler Holton
91.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
10.4%
Tyler Holton
11.0%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Burch Smith
27.4%
Tyler Holton
17.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Burch Smith
26.2%
Tyler Holton
29.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
47.8%
Tyler Holton
38.4%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Burch Smith
4.3%
Tyler Holton
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Burch Smith
.287
Tyler Holton
.301
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Burch Smith
2.764.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.18
3.70
Tyler Holton
2.764.65
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.23
3.75
WHIPlower is better
Burch Smith
1.151.56
now 1.47
1.24
Tyler Holton
1.151.56
now 1.37
1.30

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Burch Smith
4029.60
now 20
16
Tyler Holton
4029.60
now 24
16
Winshigher is better
Burch Smith
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Holton
.0001.48
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeBurch Smith — hold.conf 0.50
BuyTyler Holton — buy.conf 0.70
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