MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 22, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
David Morgan
SD · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); David Morgan wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
David Morgan
97.4
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.2%
David Morgan
16.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.3%
David Morgan
24.8%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.8%
David Morgan
36.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
44.8%
David Morgan
27.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.3%
David Morgan
1.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.282
David Morgan
.284
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
26.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.67
David Morgan
26.35
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.28
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9002.21
now 1.08
1.23
David Morgan
.9002.21
now 1.89
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4052
now 42
32
David Morgan
4052
now 17
22
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0005.20
now 2
12
David Morgan
.0005.20
now 2
14
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028
now 20
1120
David Morgan
.00028
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowDavid Morgan — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
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