Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryHogan
66K ←51
3.60ERA ←3.68
1.22WHIP ←1.27
2–5W2–5
23–43SV ←5–9
Current Season
CadeCategoryHogan
42K ←31
2.60ERA2.60
1.08WHIP ←1.59
2W2
20SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Hogan Harris
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.274 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.48 is 0.91 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Hogan Harris: 51 K / 3.68 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).