Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryJesse
53K53
3.60ERA ←3.90
1.22WHIP ←1.25
2–4W →5–14
19–35SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryJesse
42K ←30
2.60ERA ←3.82
1.08WHIP ←1.27
2W →5
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.33)
Jesse Scholtens
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.259 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.96 is 1.14 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 55 K / 3.60 ERA. Jesse Scholtens: 54 K / 3.90 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).