MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Kinley
Tyler Kinley
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Tyler Kinley wins 2 (ERA, W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Tyler Kinley
94.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Tyler Kinley
12.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Tyler Kinley
25.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Tyler Kinley
25.4%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Tyler Kinley
25.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Tyler Kinley
5.7%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Tyler Kinley
.265
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.174.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Tyler Kinley
2.174.11
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.16
3.66
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
1.011.31
now 1.08
1.23
Tyler Kinley
1.011.31
now 1.17
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4050
now 42
34
Tyler Kinley
4050
now 28
22
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0006.60
now 2
12
Tyler Kinley
.0006.60
now 4
25
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00029.40
now 20
1121
Tyler Kinley
.00029.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeTyler Kinley — hold.conf 0.50
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