MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 2, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Rogers
Tyler Rogers
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Rogers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Rogers wins 3 categories (ERA, W, SV); Caleb Ferguson wins 2 (K, WHIP).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
92.4
Tyler Rogers
83.2
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
9.0%
Tyler Rogers
7.1%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
19.8%
Tyler Rogers
13.7%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Ferguson
30.1%
Tyler Rogers
28.1%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
32.9%
Tyler Rogers
27.1%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
4.1%
Tyler Rogers
1.3%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Ferguson
.297
Tyler Rogers
.258
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
Tyler Rogers
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.36
3.64
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.51
now 0.60
1.24
Tyler Rogers
.9001.51
now 1.13
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
4032.60
now 6
25
Tyler Rogers
4032.60
now 16
11
Winshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0001.48
now 0
00
Tyler Rogers
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Ferguson
.0003.40
now 0
0
Tyler Rogers
.0003.40
now 2
12
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowCaleb Ferguson — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.76
Sell HighTyler Rogers — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.95
Tweet