Who's more valuable, rest of season
Mark Leiter Jr..
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves. Caleb Kilian’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
K
▶
ERA
WHIP
▶
◀
W
SV
▶
Mark Leiter Jr. wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Caleb Kilian wins 1 (W); 1 even.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Mark Leiter Jr.
92.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
12.9%
Mark Leiter Jr.
12.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
27.6%
Mark Leiter Jr.
24.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Kilian
31.0%
Mark Leiter Jr.
34.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
37.2%
Mark Leiter Jr.
30.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
8.1%
Mark Leiter Jr.
3.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Kilian
.309
Mark Leiter Jr.
.318
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Kilian
3.016.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.71
Mark Leiter Jr.
3.016.17
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.47
3.72
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Kilian
1.031.58
now 1.15
1.25
Mark Leiter Jr.
1.031.58
now 1.46
1.24
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
4035.60
now 29
28
Mark Leiter Jr.
4035.60
now 25
30
Winshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.0004.20
now 2
1–3
Mark Leiter Jr.
.0004.20
now 0
0–0
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Kilian
.4007.60
now 3
2–4
Mark Leiter Jr.
.4007.60
now 4
3–6
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Buy LowMark Leiter Jr. — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.81