MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Caleb Thielbar
Caleb Thielbar
CHC · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Caleb Thielbar wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
93.2
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
15.2%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
30.8%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Caleb Thielbar
38.4%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
39.7%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
14.1%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Caleb Thielbar
.318
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.84
3.70
Louis Varland
25.06
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Caleb Thielbar
.9101.46
now 1.34
1.24
Louis Varland
.9101.46
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
4052.80
now 15
16
Louis Varland
4052.80
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.0005.20
now 2
14
Louis Varland
.0005.20
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Caleb Thielbar
.00010.80
now 2
14
Louis Varland
.00010.80
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Thielbar — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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