Rest of Season Projection
ChadCategoryChase
55K ←36
3.74ERA →3.70
1.39WHIP →1.24
2–6W ←1–3
1–5SV ←0
Current Season
ChadCategoryChase
34K ←20
2.54ERA →1.74
1.20WHIP ←1.40
3W ←1
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Chad Patrick
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraSIGNALluck-free xERA 3.76 is 1.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Chase Silseth
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.268 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.55 is 1.89 above the ERA — regression coming
Chad Patrick: 55 K / 3.74 ERA. Chase Silseth: 36 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).