MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Chris Murphy
CWS · P
Change to
Portrait of Louis Varland
Louis Varland
TOR · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Louis Varland.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Louis Varland wins 4 categories (K, ERA, WHIP, SV); Chris Murphy wins 1 (W).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Murphy
96.3
Louis Varland
98.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
16.4%
Louis Varland
15.3%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
21.7%
Louis Varland
35.3%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Murphy
30.7%
Louis Varland
36.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
35.6%
Louis Varland
34.7%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Murphy
8.2%
Louis Varland
2.5%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Murphy
.301
Louis Varland
.217
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Murphy
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.59
3.70
Louis Varland
28.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.29
1.96
WHIPlower is better
Chris Murphy
.9002.55
now 2.32
1.24
Louis Varland
.9002.55
now 1.03
1.08

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Murphy
4056.40
now 6
13
Louis Varland
4056.40
now 42
22
Winshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.2003.80
now 1
13
Louis Varland
.2003.80
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Chris Murphy
.00010.80
now 1
14
Louis Varland
.00010.80
now 8
47
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeChris Murphy — hold.conf 0.50
BuyLouis Varland — buy.conf 0.92
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