Who's more valuable, rest of season
Matt Waldron.
He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins. Chris Paddack’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.
Head-to-head
◀
K
ERA
▶
WHIP
▶
W
▶
SV n/a
Matt Waldron wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Chris Paddack wins 1 (K); SV n/a.
04
Under the hood
Underlying skill — each value vs league avgFastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Chris Paddack
92.9
Matt Waldron
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Chris Paddack
10.5%
Matt Waldron
8.8%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Chris Paddack
15.7%
Matt Waldron
20.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Chris Paddack
32.6%
Matt Waldron
31.7%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Chris Paddack
37.8%
Matt Waldron
39.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Chris Paddack
8.0%
Matt Waldron
7.6%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Chris Paddack
.342
Matt Waldron
.306
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05
The tape
Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Chris Paddack
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.90
4.63
Matt Waldron
2.338.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
WHIPlower is better
Chris Paddack
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.43
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30
Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Chris Paddack
4075.20
now 35
60
Matt Waldron
4075.20
now 22
54
Winshigher is better
Chris Paddack
.0004.20
now 0
0–0
Matt Waldron
.0004.20
now 1
2–3
SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellChris Paddack — hold.conf 0.60
Buy LowMatt Waldron — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
