MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 24, 2026
Portrait of Connelly Early
Connelly Early
BOS · P
Change to
Portrait of Ryan Weathers
Ryan Weathers
NYY · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Connelly Early wins 2 (ERA, W); Ryan Weathers wins 2 (K, WHIP); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Connelly Early
94.0
Ryan Weathers
95.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
11.1%
Ryan Weathers
12.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Connelly Early
23.8%
Ryan Weathers
26.6%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Connelly Early
31.4%
Ryan Weathers
29.9%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
40.9%
Ryan Weathers
42.3%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Connelly Early
10.6%
Ryan Weathers
10.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Connelly Early
.321
Ryan Weathers
.328
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Connelly Early
2.374.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.95
4.26
Ryan Weathers
2.374.98
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.52
4.40
WHIPlower is better
Connelly Early
1.071.38
now 1.16
1.31
Ryan Weathers
1.071.38
now 1.14
1.23

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Connelly Early
4085
now 57
50
Ryan Weathers
4085
now 75
58
Winshigher is better
Connelly Early
.0008
now 5
36
Ryan Weathers
.0008
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · leans sellConnelly Early — hold.conf 0.60
SellRyan Weathers — sell.conf 0.69
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