Rest of Season Projection
CorbinCategoryJarren
13HR ←11
50R ←40
38RBI →45
9SB →14
.266AVG ←.212
Current Season
CorbinCategoryJarren
7HR →10
37R ←29
28RBI →33
7SB →10
.286AVG ←.219
What Each Player's System Trusts
Corbin Carroll
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.365, +0.050 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.331 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.295 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 30% is stable and high — caps the floor
Corbin Carroll: 13 HR / 50 R. Jarren Duran: 11 HR / 40 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).