Rest of Season Projection
CraigCategorySam
47K ←35
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP ←1.25
0–0W →1–2
0SV →1–2
Current Season
CraigCategorySam
17K →26
5.63ERA →2.49
1.44WHIP →1.07
0W →1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Craig Kimbrel
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (4.30)
Sam Moll
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.254 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.79 is 0.90 above the ERA — regression coming
Craig Kimbrel: 47 K / 3.70 ERA. Sam Moll: 35 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).