MLB Daily DeltaWeek 13 · June 19, 2026
Portrait of Derek Hill
Derek Hill
PHI · RF
Change to
Matt Shaw
CHC · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Derek Hill.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and steals. Matt Shaw’s box score looks better right now, but the luck-stripped projection flips it.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Derek Hill wins 3 categories (HR, R, SB); Matt Shaw wins 2 (RBI, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Derek Hill
89.9
Matt Shaw
86.7
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
33.3%
Matt Shaw
36.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Derek Hill
8.8%
Matt Shaw
5.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Derek Hill
35.4%
Matt Shaw
36.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Derek Hill
19.5%
Matt Shaw
9.4%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Derek Hill
.282
Matt Shaw
.302
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Derek Hill
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .234
.202
Matt Shaw
.200.260
lg AVG .295
now .240
.245

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
57.20
now 3
6
Matt Shaw
57.20
now 3
5
Runshigher is better
Derek Hill
2030
now 9
24
Matt Shaw
2030
now 10
21
RBIhigher is better
Derek Hill
2032.60
now 6
16
Matt Shaw
2032.60
now 12
25
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Derek Hill
.00021.20
now 6
16
Matt Shaw
.00021.20
now 3
6
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeDerek Hill — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeMatt Shaw — hold.conf 0.50
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