Rest of Season Projection
DerekCategoryOwen
7HR →8
28R →31
19RBI →55
19SB ←6
.217AVG ←.182
Current Season
DerekCategoryOwen
3HR →5
9R →17
6RBI →30
6SB ←3
.234AVG.234
What Each Player's System Trusts
Derek Hill
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.314)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Owen Caissie
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.277 below league with no luck excuse
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 42% is stable and high — caps the floor
Derek Hill: 7 HR / 28 R. Owen Caissie: 8 HR / 31 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).