MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Seth Lugo
Seth Lugo
KC · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA, WHIP, and wins.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 3 categories (ERA, WHIP, W); Seth Lugo wins 1 (K); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Seth Lugo
91.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Seth Lugo
8.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Seth Lugo
18.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Seth Lugo
24.6%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Seth Lugo
44.9%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Seth Lugo
9.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Seth Lugo
.353
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
35.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
Seth Lugo
35.48
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.55
4.93
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.231.45
now 1.30
1.33
Seth Lugo
1.231.45
now 1.35
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4069.20
now 51
37
Seth Lugo
4069.20
now 60
43
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.2003.80
now 3
13
Seth Lugo
.2003.80
now 2
12

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellSeth Lugo — sell.conf 0.90
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