MLB Daily DeltaWeek 19 · August 1, 2026
Portrait of Dustin May
Dustin May
STL · P
Change to
Portrait of Steven Matz
Steven Matz
TB · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Dustin May.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, ERA, and WHIP.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Dustin May wins 3 categories (K, ERA, WHIP); Steven Matz wins 1 (W); SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Dustin May
96.9
Steven Matz
93.3
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
10.5%
Steven Matz
10.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Dustin May
23.1%
Steven Matz
18.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Dustin May
29.8%
Steven Matz
27.0%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
46.1%
Steven Matz
36.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Dustin May
6.5%
Steven Matz
12.4%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Dustin May
.306
Steven Matz
.356
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Dustin May
3.475.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.57
3.91
Steven Matz
3.475.44
lg xERA 4.10
now 4.67
5.00
WHIPlower is better
Dustin May
1.171.43
now 1.30
1.33
Steven Matz
1.171.43
now 1.24
1.36

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Dustin May
4057.40
now 51
37
Steven Matz
4057.40
now 35
35
Winshigher is better
Dustin May
.0006.60
now 3
13
Steven Matz
.0006.60
now 4
25

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowDustin May — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.74
SellSteven Matz — sell.conf 0.90
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