Rest of Season Projection
GarrettCategoryTroy
8HR ←7
34R ←33
45RBI ←36
10SB ←4
.217AVG →.293
Current Season
GarrettCategoryTroy
3HR ←2
21R →23
28RBI ←25
6SB ←3
.230AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Garrett Mitchell
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.331, +0.016 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.402 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Troy Johnston
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.326)
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.379 sits above league and is not yet stable — expect some of the average to regress
Garrett Mitchell: 8 HR / 34 R. Troy Johnston: 7 HR / 33 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).