Rest of Season Projection
JamesCategoryLawrence
6HR →8
31R →32
10RBI →26
14SB ←7
.163AVG →.224
Current Season
JamesCategoryLawrence
0HR →3
9R →17
3RBI →14
4SB4
.161AVG →.164
What Each Player's System Trusts
James Outman
- xwobaNOISEskill near league average (0.201)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 40% is stable and high — caps the floor
Lawrence Butler
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.206 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
James Outman: 6 HR / 31 R. Lawrence Butler: 8 HR / 32 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).