Rest of Season Projection
JarrenCategoryTrent
12HR →16
45R →53
51RBI ←50
16SB ←6
.219AVG →.233
Current Season
JarrenCategoryTrent
10HR ←7
29R →33
33RBI ←31
10SB ←4
.219AVG ←.207
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jarren Duran
- xwobaSIGNALskill near league average (0.308)
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Trent Grisham
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.343, +0.028 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Jarren Duran: 12 HR / 45 R. Trent Grisham: 16 HR / 53 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).