MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 28, 2026
Portrait of Jarren Duran
Jarren Duran
BOS · LF
Change to
Portrait of Trent Grisham
Trent Grisham
NYY · CF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 22, 1 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Jarren Duran wins 2 (RBI, SB); Trent Grisham wins 2 (R, AVG); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
89.6
Trent Grisham
90.8
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
38.3%
Trent Grisham
45.0%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Jarren Duran
10.3%
Trent Grisham
10.4%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
34.5%
Trent Grisham
17.7%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Jarren Duran
16.9%
Trent Grisham
6.8%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Jarren Duran
.293
Trent Grisham
.346
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Jarren Duran
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .219
.200
Trent Grisham
.200.240
lg AVG .295
now .207
.228

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
512.40
now 10
4
Trent Grisham
512.40
now 7
4
Runshigher is better
Jarren Duran
2038.20
now 29
20
Trent Grisham
2038.20
now 33
23
RBIhigher is better
Jarren Duran
2037.40
now 33
23
Trent Grisham
2037.40
now 31
22
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Jarren Duran
.20012.80
now 10
7
Trent Grisham
.20012.80
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
SellJarren Duran — sell.conf 0.59
Buy LowTrent Grisham — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
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