Rest of Season Projection
JoCategoryTroy
17HR ←8
33R →38
52RBI ←41
5SB5
.264AVG →.297
Current Season
JoCategoryTroy
9HR ←2
22R →23
34RBI ←25
3SB3
.236AVG →.312
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jo Adell
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.274 suppressed and unstable — dragging results below the bat
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALcontact quality already past its threshold and intact — the bat is fine
Troy Johnston
- babipNOISEBABIP 0.404 far above league and nowhere near stable — inflating the line
- xwobaSIGNALluck-free skill 0.330 is 0.033 below the surface — regression coming
Jo Adell: 17 HR / 33 R. Troy Johnston: 8 HR / 38 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).