MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 20, 2026
Portrait of José Alvarado
José Alvarado
PHI · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Alexander
Tyler Alexander
TEX · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Tyler Alexander.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — ERA and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Tyler Alexander wins 2 categories (ERA, SV); José Alvarado wins 1 (K); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
José Alvarado
97.5
Tyler Alexander
91.9
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
14.5%
Tyler Alexander
9.9%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
José Alvarado
29.1%
Tyler Alexander
21.5%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
José Alvarado
35.2%
Tyler Alexander
31.5%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
26.8%
Tyler Alexander
35.2%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
José Alvarado
4.1%
Tyler Alexander
3.2%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
José Alvarado
.296
Tyler Alexander
.274
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
José Alvarado
2.136.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 5.59
3.70
Tyler Alexander
2.136.58
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.12
3.67
WHIPlower is better
José Alvarado
1.012.04
now 1.81
1.24
Tyler Alexander
1.012.04
now 1.38
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
José Alvarado
4031.60
now 26
25
Tyler Alexander
4031.60
now 21
16
Winshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0001.48
now 1
11
Tyler Alexander
.0001.48
now 1
01
Saveshigher is better
José Alvarado
.0004.40
now 1
02
Tyler Alexander
.0004.40
now 2
13
If you already own them — trade angle
Buy LowJosé Alvarado — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.90
Hold · wait & seeTyler Alexander — hold.conf 0.50
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