MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 7, 2026
Portrait of Josh Naylor
Josh Naylor
SEA · 1B
Change to
Portrait of Rafael Devers
Rafael Devers
SF · 1B
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Rafael Devers.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — home runs, runs, and RBI.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Rafael Devers wins 3 categories (HR, R, RBI); Josh Naylor wins 2 (SB, AVG).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
87.5
Rafael Devers
92.1
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
37.1%
Rafael Devers
50.8%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Josh Naylor
4.9%
Rafael Devers
12.2%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
37.0%
Rafael Devers
29.9%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Josh Naylor
9.8%
Rafael Devers
14.6%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Josh Naylor
.320
Rafael Devers
.324
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Josh Naylor
.220.270
lg AVG .295
now .254
.255
Rafael Devers
.220.270
lg AVG .295
now .251
.230

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
511
now 6
4
Rafael Devers
511
now 7
9
Runshigher is better
Josh Naylor
2029.20
now 21
20
Rafael Devers
2029.20
now 26
24
RBIhigher is better
Josh Naylor
20.8033.20
now 25
24
Rafael Devers
20.8033.20
now 30
28
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Josh Naylor
.00016.80
now 12
11
Rafael Devers
.00016.80
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · steadyJosh Naylor — hold.conf 0.60
Hold · leans buyRafael Devers — hold.conf 0.60
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