Rest of Season Projection
LuisCategorySam
41K ←40
3.74ERA →3.62
1.25WHIP ←1.26
1–3W1–2
0SV0
Current Season
LuisCategorySam
27K →29
2.88ERA →2.22
1.20WHIP →1.09
1W1
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Luis Medina
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.273 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.54 is 1.77 above the ERA — regression coming
Sam Bachman
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.221 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.64 is 0.42 above the ERA — regression coming
Luis Medina: 41 K / 3.74 ERA. Sam Bachman: 40 K / 3.62 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).