MLB Daily DeltaWeek 20 · August 6, 2026
Matt Waldron
TOR · P
Change to
Portrait of Tyler Mahle
Tyler Mahle
ATL · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Too close to call.

They split your categories 11, 2 even. Take whoever fills a bigger need.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV n/a

Matt Waldron wins 1 (WHIP); Tyler Mahle wins 1 (K); 2 even; SV n/a.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Matt Waldron
92.0
Tyler Mahle
92.6
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
8.5%
Tyler Mahle
9.7%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
19.0%
Tyler Mahle
22.0%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Matt Waldron
30.0%
Tyler Mahle
28.3%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
40.4%
Tyler Mahle
36.6%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Matt Waldron
6.4%
Tyler Mahle
6.9%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Matt Waldron
.306
Tyler Mahle
.312
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Matt Waldron
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 8.49
4.09
Tyler Mahle
2.328.25
lg xERA 4.10
now 6.04
4.08
WHIPlower is better
Matt Waldron
1.141.87
now 1.71
1.30
Tyler Mahle
1.141.87
now 1.54
1.38

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Matt Waldron
4071
now 22
31
Tyler Mahle
4071
now 57
41
Winshigher is better
Matt Waldron
.0002.80
now 1
12
Tyler Mahle
.0002.80
now 1
01

SV — not applicable. Both pitch out of the rotation.

If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeMatt Waldron — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · steadyTyler Mahle — hold.conf 0.60
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