Rest of Season Projection
OneilCategoryRiley
19HR ←16
63R ←48
61RBI ←44
28SB ←2
.242AVG →.274
Current Season
OneilCategoryRiley
13HR ←5
42R ←31
41RBI ←28
19SB ←1
.255AVG →.309
What Each Player's System Trusts
Oneil Cruz
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.353, +0.038 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 35% is stable and high — caps the floor
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.360, +0.045 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Oneil Cruz: 19 HR / 63 R. Riley Greene: 16 HR / 48 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).