Rest of Season Projection
OrlandoCategoryRyan
25K ←24
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–5
2–7SV ←0
Current Season
OrlandoCategoryRyan
12K12
1.72ERA ←2.75
0.89WHIP ←1.17
0W →2
2SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Orlando Ribalta
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.196 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 2.74 is 0.88 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.98 is 1.70 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Orlando Ribalta: 25 K / 3.70 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).