Rest of Season Projection
JakobCategoryRyan
25K ←24
3.68ERA ←3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
0–0W →2–5
3–6SV ←0
Current Season
JakobCategoryRyan
16K ←12
1.75ERA ←2.75
0.78WHIP ←1.17
0W →2
3SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Jakob Junis
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.200 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.26 is 1.69 above the ERA — regression coming
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.239 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.98 is 1.70 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 16% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Jakob Junis: 25 K / 3.68 ERA. Ryan Thompson: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).