Rest of Season Projection
RileyCategorySpencer
15HR ←12
46R →52
41RBI ←32
1SB →5
.276AVG.275
Current Season
RileyCategorySpencer
5HR →7
31R →34
28RBI ←21
1SB →3
.309AVG ←.272
What Each Player's System Trusts
Riley Greene
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.362, +0.047 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
- k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 28% is stable and high — caps the floor
Spencer Steer
- xwobaSIGNALstable xwOBA 0.379, +0.064 vs league — production is earned
- hard_hit_pctSIGNALelite, already-stable contact quality
Riley Greene: 15 HR / 46 R. Spencer Steer: 12 HR / 52 R. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).