Rest of Season Projection
RyanCategoryTy
25K →53
3.70ERA3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–5W ←0–0
0SV0
Current Season
RyanCategoryTy
12K →16
2.75ERA ←3.07
1.17WHIP →0.95
2W ←0
0SV0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Ryan Thompson
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.57 is 1.15 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 15% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Ty Madden
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (3.18)
Ryan Thompson: 24 K / 3.70 ERA. Ty Madden: 54 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).