Rest of Season Projection
AndrewCategoryJosé
44K44
3.73ERA →3.70
1.24WHIP1.24
2–7W ←1–2
0SV →1–3
Current Season
AndrewCategoryJosé
27K ←26
5.16ERA ←5.59
1.41WHIP ←1.81
3W ←1
0SV →1
What Each Player's System Trusts
Andrew Nardi
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (5.08)
José Alvarado
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.45 sits 0.65 below league — a real arm the ERA is hiding
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.424 elevated and unstable — bloating the ERA
Andrew Nardi: 44 K / 3.73 ERA. José Alvarado: 44 K / 3.70 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).