MLB Daily DeltaWeek 18 · July 29, 2026
Portrait of Blake Dunn
Blake Dunn
CIN · CF
Change to
Portrait of Lawrence Butler
Lawrence Butler
ATH · RF
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Blake Dunn.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — runs, steals, and average. Lawrence Butler’s box score looks better right now, but it’s built on luck that won’t hold.

Head-to-head
HR
R
RBI
SB
AVG

Blake Dunn wins 3 categories (R, SB, AVG); Lawrence Butler wins 2 (HR, RBI).

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Avg Exit Velolg 89.0 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
89.2
Lawrence Butler
88.9
Hard-Hit %lg 40.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
30.3%
Lawrence Butler
44.3%
Barrel %lg 8.0% · higher = better
Blake Dunn
2.7%
Lawrence Butler
5.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
28.7%
Lawrence Butler
24.3%
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · lower = better
Blake Dunn
10.9%
Lawrence Butler
13.0%
xwOBAlg .315 · higher = better
Blake Dunn
.278
Lawrence Butler
.304
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · batting average
AVGhigher is better
Blake Dunn
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .269
.235
Lawrence Butler
.200.310
lg AVG .295
now .164
.217

Volume · counting stats
Home Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
54.20
now 1
1
Lawrence Butler
54.20
now 3
3
Runshigher is better
Blake Dunn
2021.20
now 10
18
Lawrence Butler
2021.20
now 17
14
RBIhigher is better
Blake Dunn
2018.80
now 2
4
Lawrence Butler
2018.80
now 14
12
Stolen Baseshigher is better
Blake Dunn
.8005.20
now 2
4
Lawrence Butler
.8005.20
now 4
3
If you already own them — trade angle
Sell HighBlake Dunn — sell high. His value is peaking; good time to trade him.conf 0.66
Buy LowLawrence Butler — buy low. The dip is a window to acquire.conf 0.66
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