MLB Daily DeltaWeek 15 · July 5, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Ferguson
Caleb Ferguson
CIN · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, wins, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 4 categories (K, WHIP, W, SV); Caleb Ferguson wins 0 (none); 1 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.8
Caleb Ferguson
92.5
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.4%
Caleb Ferguson
9.2%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
35.0%
Caleb Ferguson
22.9%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
31.9%
Caleb Ferguson
29.8%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
47.3%
Caleb Ferguson
34.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.5%
Caleb Ferguson
2.1%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.293
Caleb Ferguson
.286
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.69
Caleb Ferguson
25.18
lg xERA 4.10
now 0.00
3.70
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
.9001.50
now 1.08
1.23
Caleb Ferguson
.9001.50
now 0.60
1.24

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4056.40
now 42
42
Caleb Ferguson
4056.40
now 6
35
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.0004.20
now 2
13
Caleb Ferguson
.0004.20
now 0
00
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00036.40
now 20
1426
Caleb Ferguson
.00036.40
now 0
0
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Ferguson — hold.conf 0.50
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