MLB Daily DeltaWeek 17 · July 19, 2026
Portrait of Cade Smith
Cade Smith
CLE · P
Change to
Portrait of Caleb Kilian
Caleb Kilian
SF · P
Change to
Who's more valuable, rest of season

Cade Smith.

He projects to help you in more roto categories the rest of the way — strikeouts, WHIP, and saves.

Head-to-head
K
ERA
WHIP
W
SV

Cade Smith wins 3 categories (K, WHIP, SV); Caleb Kilian wins 0 (none); 2 even.

04

Under the hood

Underlying skill — each value vs league avg
Fastball Velolg 94.0 · higher = better
Cade Smith
96.9
Caleb Kilian
96.8
Swinging-Strike %lg 11.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
17.0%
Caleb Kilian
13.6%
Strikeout %lg 22.0% · higher = better
Cade Smith
34.8%
Caleb Kilian
28.1%
Chase %lg 28.5% · higher = better
Cade Smith
33.5%
Caleb Kilian
31.2%
Hard-Hit % Allowedlg 40.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
45.2%
Caleb Kilian
35.0%
Barrel % Allowedlg 8.0% · lower = better
Cade Smith
10.4%
Caleb Kilian
7.8%
xwOBA Allowedlg .315 · lower = better
Cade Smith
.286
Caleb Kilian
.290
stabilized — trust it · small sample yet · dashed = league avg · right = better
05

The tape

Rest-of-season projection · bold = leads
rest-of-season projection current season projection range
Rate · earned-run quality
ERAlower is better
Cade Smith
2.124.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 2.60
3.68
Caleb Kilian
2.124.29
lg xERA 4.10
now 3.81
3.69
WHIPlower is better
Cade Smith
1.011.32
now 1.08
1.23
Caleb Kilian
1.011.32
now 1.15
1.25

Volume · rest of season
Strikeoutshigher is better
Cade Smith
4050.40
now 42
34
Caleb Kilian
4050.40
now 29
21
Winshigher is better
Cade Smith
.5202.48
now 2
12
Caleb Kilian
.5202.48
now 2
12
Saveshigher is better
Cade Smith
.00028.60
now 20
1121
Caleb Kilian
.00028.60
now 3
23
If you already own them — trade angle
Hold · wait & seeCade Smith — hold.conf 0.50
Hold · wait & seeCaleb Kilian — hold.conf 0.50
Tweet