Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryJoel
66K ←26
3.60ERA ←3.73
1.22WHIP ←1.25
2–5W ←1–2
23–43SV ←5–8
Current Season
CadeCategoryJoel
42K ←13
2.60ERA ←3.04
1.08WHIP ←1.18
2W ←1
20SV ←4
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Joel Kuhnel
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.267 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 4.56 is 1.52 above the ERA — regression coming
- p_k_pctSIGNALstrikeout rate 13% is stable and well below league — limits the ceiling
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Joel Kuhnel: 26 K / 3.73 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).