Rest of Season Projection
CadeCategoryLuke
66K ←40
3.60ERA ←3.67
1.22WHIP ←1.24
2–5W2–5
23–43SV ←0
Current Season
CadeCategoryLuke
42K ←25
2.60ERA ←2.77
1.08WHIP →1.04
2W2
20SV ←0
What Each Player's System Trusts
Cade Smith
- xeraNOISEskill near league average (2.23)
Luke Weaver
- babip_againstNOISEBABIP-against 0.250 suppressed and unstable — flattering the ERA
- xeraNOISEluck-free xERA 3.12 is 0.35 above the ERA — regression coming
Cade Smith: 66 K / 3.60 ERA. Luke Weaver: 40 K / 3.67 ERA. Different roster decisions — see individual verdicts.
Bare-stats comparison (narrative review pending).